---
id: 2026-02-17T16:47:46-0500
title: 2026-02-17 16:47:46
tags:
  - exclude-from-word-count
  - status/draft
  - topic/risk
daily: "[[2026-02-17]]"
---
# 2026-02-17 16:47:46

## The Lindy Effect

> [!quote] [Lindy effect - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect)
> The Lindy effect (also known as Lindy's law)
> is a theorized phenomenon by which the future life expectancy
> of some non-perishable thing,
> like a technology or an idea,
> is proportional to its current age.
> Thus, the Lindy effect proposes
> the longer a period something has survived
> to exist or be used in the present,
> the longer its remaining life expectancy.
> Longevity implies a resistance to change,
> obsolescence, or competition,
> and greater odds of continued existence into the future.
> Where the Lindy effect applies,
> mortality rate decreases with time.
>
> ...
>
> The concept is named after Lindy's delicatessen in New York City,
> where the concept was informally theorized by comedians:
> a show running only 2 weeks
> would be expected to last another 2 weeks,
> while a show that has lasted 2 years
> could expect a further 2-year run.
