---
id:
aliases:
  - rule-of-thumb
tags:
  - authorship/original
  - destiny/permanent
  - status/incomplete
  - type/encyclopedia
title: Heuristics
dg-publish: true
---
# Heuristics

A heuristic, or "rule of thumb", is a solution
that neglects some of a problem's complexity,
while still producing a satisfactory result.

The namesake rule of the rule of thumb
is that the width of one's thumb is about an inch.
With that heuristic,
one can closely approximate small dimensions,
even without the proper tools.

It is tempting to believe that heuristics are not ideal,
that the most accurate method ought to be preferred.

%%
even using a ruler is a heuristic,
subject to the tool's tolerance
and reliant on its proper use.
%%

## Realism vs. Instrumentalism

Realism holds that the purpose of [scientific research](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Research)
is to describe the world as accurately as possible.
Instrumentalism (anti-realism) argues that the purpose
is to _forecast as accurately as possible_.

> [!quote] _Opinionated History of Mathematics_, "Did Copernicus steal ideas from Islamic astronomers?" (pp.)
> Ptolemy's lunar model is "flawed"
> in that it inaccurately describes Luna's distance from Earth,
> however Ptolemy only ever used the model to predict eclipses,
> which the model does very well.
> The discrepancy is only a flaw from a realist perspective.

Realism is noble, granted,
but instrumentalism is far more practical.

> [!quote] George E. P. Box, British statistician
> All models are wrong, but some are useful.[^1]

[^1]: > [!quote] [[box_1987_empirical-model-building#The Use of Approximating Functions]] 
    > The fact that the polynomial is an approximation
    > does not necessarily detract from its usefulness
    > because all models are approximations.
    > Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful.
