vault backup: 2026-03-03 12:21:57
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@@ -13,11 +13,17 @@ dg-publish: true
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Realism holds that the purpose of [scientific research](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Research)
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is to describe the world as accurately as possible.
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Instrumentalism (anti-realism) holds that the purpose
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is to make accurate predictions.
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Instrumentalism (anti-realism) argues that the purpose
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is to _forecast as accurately as possible_.
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> [!quote] George E. P. Box, British statistician
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> All models are wrong, but some are useful.
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> All models are wrong, but some are useful.[^1]
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[^1]: > [!quote] [[box_1987_empirical-model-building#The Use of Approximating Functions]]
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> The fact that the polynomial is an approximation
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> does not necessarily detract from its usefulness
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> because all models are approximations.
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> Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful.
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> [!quote] _Opinionated History of Mathematics_, "Did Copernicus steal ideas from Islamic astronomers?" (pp.)
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> Ptolemy's lunar model is "flawed"
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