Vault backup 2025-07-17

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2025-07-17 17:03:58 -04:00
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---
id: risk-oriented-estimating
aliases: []
tags: []
---
# Risk Oriented Estimating
Risk-Oriented Estimating (ROE), is a methodology for [[construction-estimating]] which
@@ -8,7 +14,7 @@ ROE leans heavily on [[expected-value-of-perfect-information]],
which challenges the natural tendency to shy from uncertainty
with the reality of the cost of certainty.
ROE does not endorse common shortcuts which round up to "cover" uncertainty,
ROE does not endorse common shortcuts that round up to "cover" uncertainty,
as these ultimately _increase_ risk by inflating the apparent project cost,
increasing the probability of loss to a competitor.
@@ -24,3 +30,4 @@ ROE prioritizes estimating tasks by their contribution to _cost certainty_.
ROE determines the appropriate level of [[estimating-detail]]
given an organization's [[risk#Risk Tolerance]].