vault backup: 2026-03-02 12:37:43

timestamped/2026-01-25_21-02-00.md

@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
 ---
 id: 2026-01-25T21:02:00-05:00
+aliases: []
 title: 2026-01-25 21:02:??
 tags:
   - type/timestamped
@@ -20,7 +21,7 @@ without acknowledging that _Fermi_ supplied the decomposition.
 Hubbard also references [[macgregor_1994_judgemental-decomposition]]
 which is a similar case.
 Neither of these examples suggest that decomposition is a magic bullet,
-or even that a layman's decomposition wouldn't be worse than nothing.
+_or even that a layman's decomposition wouldn't be worse than nothing._
 Despite this, Hubbard ends the section without qualifier:
 "Clearly, decomposition helps estimates."
 
@@ -28,4 +29,4 @@ This section comes only pages after
 [[hubbard_2020_failure#The Measurement Inversion]]
 in which Hubbard warns against seeking detail for the sake of it.
 
-See also [[the-failure-of-risk-management#_Exsupero Ursus_]].
+See also [[the-failure-of-risk-management#_Exsupero Ursus_]].