vault backup: 2025-12-18 17:14:55

statistical-modeling-for-construction-estimating.md

@@ -15,6 +15,22 @@ tags:
 
 Cross-topic of [[statistical-modeling]] and [[construction-estimating]].
 
+%%
+## TALK
+
+This note should discuss the application of modeling in estimating,
+including what is already common practice (e.g. average run lengths),
+as well as the potential for more robust models.
+
+Models are useful where information is limited,
+and where more precise methods would be suboptimal[^1].
+
+[^1]: see [[risk-management-for-construction-estimating]].
+
+Specific examples should generally be relegated to linked notes.
+
+%%
+
 ## Bayesian Takeoff
 
 #### User Story