vault backup: 2026-05-15 16:58:51

2026-05-15 16:58:51 -04:00
parent 901a23ae0e
commit b1b483daf8
38 changed files with 2562 additions and 75 deletions
@@ -22,9 +22,11 @@ I would not be surprised to hear of an estimator responding this way
 even after Hubbard's calibration.
 Hubbard repeatedly conflates estimates of uncertain events
 with personal estimates of trivia questions with certain answers.
-These are functionally identical,
-but _feel_ very different.
+Under Bayesian statistics these cases are identical,
+but they still _feel_ very different.
 Hubbard could do better to address this bias.

-If you don't know the answer offhand,
-imagine it has been lost to time.
+If you don't know the answer offhand, imagine it has been lost to time.
+According to most discographers,
+The Winstons' _Color Him Father_ (the origin of the Amen break)
+was released "May 1969", with no date.