vault backup: 2026-02-17 17:04:56
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id: 2026-02-17T16-47-46-05:00
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aliases: []
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title: "2026-02-17 16:47:46"
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tags:
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- authorship/original
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- destiny/permanent
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- status/draft
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- type/periodic/timestamped
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dg-publish: true
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daily: "[[2026-02-17]]"
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weekly: "[[2026-W08]]"
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monthly: "[[2026-02]]"
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quarterly: "[[2026-Q1]]"
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yearly: "[[2026]]"
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---
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# 2026-02-17 16:47:46
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## The Lindy Effect
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> [!quote] [Lindy effect - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect)
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> The Lindy effect (also known as Lindy's law)
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> is a theorized phenomenon by which the future life expectancy
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> of some non-perishable thing,
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> like a technology or an idea,
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> is proportional to its current age.
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> Thus, the Lindy effect proposes
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> the longer a period something has survived
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> to exist or be used in the present,
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> the longer its remaining life expectancy.
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> Longevity implies a resistance to change,
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> obsolescence, or competition,
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> and greater odds of continued existence into the future.
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> Where the Lindy effect applies,
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> mortality rate decreases with time.
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>
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> ...
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>
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> The concept is named after Lindy's delicatessen in New York City,
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> where the concept was informally theorized by comedians:
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> a show running only 2 weeks
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> would be expected to last another 2 weeks,
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> while a show that has lasted 2 years
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> could expect a further 2-year run.
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