vault backup: 2026-02-20 12:46:52
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@@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ dg-publish: true
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---
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# 2026-01-25
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## 2026-01-25 18:46:??
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# 2026-01-25 18:46:??
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#topic/finance
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@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ $$
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\text{APR} = \frac{\frac{\text{Interest} + \text{Fees}}{\text{Principle}}}{\text{Term Years}}
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$$
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## 2026-01-25 21:02:??
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# 2026-01-25 21:02:??
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[[the-failure-of-risk-management]]
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@@ -73,7 +73,7 @@ Hubbard fails to recognize logical parallels between his different arguments,
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so to a critical reader they appear contradictory:
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In [[hubbard_2020_failure#Break It Down, Then Do the Math]]
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Hubbard introduces decomposition as a method for reducing error in estimates,
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Hubbard introduces **decomposition** as a method for reducing error in estimates,
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Providing Fermi's "piano tuners in Chicago" problem as an example,
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without acknowledging that _Fermi_ supplied the decomposition.
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Hubbard also references [[macgregor_1994_judgemental-decomposition]]
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@@ -89,7 +89,7 @@ in which Hubbard warns against seeking detail for the sake of it.
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See also [[the-failure-of-risk-management#_Exsupero Ursus_]].
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## 2026-01-25 22:59:??
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# 2026-01-25 22:59:??
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[[macgregor_1994_judgemental-decomposition]]
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