vault backup: 2026-05-04 17:15:02
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@@ -7,11 +7,16 @@ daily: "[[2026-01-11]]"
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---
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# 2026-01-11 11:00:??
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%%
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Comment on a flawed understanding of [[construction-estimating]],
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common even among estimators.
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%%
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![[my-favorite-quotes#"It Takes an Engineer to Build a Bridge that Barely Stands"]]
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The value that estimators provide for a contractor
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is in modeling project cost.
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If the goal were simply to present a number the cost will not exceed,
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is in _modeling project cost_.
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If the goal were simply to present a number that the cost will not exceed,
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than anyone could be an estimator.
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If the goal were only to present a reasonably accurate figure,
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with no other constraints,
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@@ -46,11 +51,13 @@ it is not cost-effective[^1] to allow it to take four.[^2]
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they may have reasonable basis to set sliding standards for estimate precision
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to be specifically determined at consideration of the opportunity for bid
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according to current climate (i.e. their transient risk appetite).
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I believe my use of the absolute is still fair:
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No contractor is doing that, so they lack a competent measure of risk tolerance
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besides continuing to tolerate what they have historically.
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No contractor is doing that,
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so they lack a competent measure of risk tolerance
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besides continuing to tolerate what they have tolerated historically.
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> [!important]
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> Objectionable as it is,
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> it is to be expected that estimators will use all time allowed them
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> when the standards for _acceptability_ are inadequately defined.
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> when the standards for **acceptability** are inadequately defined.
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