---
id: 2026-05-30T20:18:01-0400
title: 2026-05-30 20:18:01
tags: []
daily: "[[2026-05-30]]"
---
# 2026-05-30 20:18:01

## "Record-Breaking Probability"

[[how-to-measure-anything-in-project-management#Estimating Impact Under Uncertainty]]

Hubbard doesn't explain the concept
of "record-breaking probability" to my tastes.
More to the point,
he gives special attention to minimum and maximum
when the probability that the next sample will have _any_ rank
is given by 1/(n+1).