--- id: aliases: [] tags: - topic/risk --- # Strategy The field of strategy is concerned with the optimal solutions of problematic scenarios. ## Decision Theory Decision theory concerns * ~~internal problems~~ * ~~no competition~~ * ~~internal optimization~~ ## Game Theory Game theory concerns decisions made in competition with other intelligent actors. Predictions of competitor behavior in bids and market movements are made with a game-theoretic lens. ### Auction Theory Auction theory is a subset of game theory that specifically addresses the competitive bid format typical of construction project award. ## In Construction Contracting **Executives** inform **Risk Tolerance**, **Risk Tolerance** informs **Minimum Estimate Certainty** ### Bid Strategy Project cost certainty #### Expected Competition ### Estimation Strategy