--- id: aliases: [] title: 2026-01-09 tags: - authorship/original - destiny/permanent - status/draft - type/periodic/daily dg-publish: true --- # 2026-01-09 # 2026-01-09 10:00:03 ### 2100 Crystal Drive `#600 ? WHITE ?` had incorrect sort codes. #### Lighting Control I took off lighting per plans (E510) in spite of proposal stating "local control". Will have to be changed. #### Labor Factor Fire Alarm Switchgear Feeders Subfeeds Corridors Amenity Retail Units #### Fixtures > [!failure] > Several fixtures were erroneously based on NM cable. I built some fixtures with \#12/3 in areas with emergency lighting to be an unswitched hot. Joel is having me change them to \#12/2. #### Units > [!failure] > One unit type typical was missing `Area` quantities. > Another had no takeoff. #### Labor Plan $$ \mathbb{E}\left[\frac{\text{Hours Per Unit}}{\text{Openings Per Unit}}\right] \approx .75~\text{Hours Per Opening} $$ High Rise .110--.120 hr/sqft # 2026-01-09 12:00:?? $$ \begin{gather*} \frac{146097}{400} = 365.2425~\text{Days Per Year} \ \frac{20871}{400} = 52.1775~\text{Weeks Per Year} \ \frac{6957}{1600} = 4.348125~\text{Weeks Per Month} \end{gather*} $$ $$ \frac{365.2425~\text{Days Per Year}}{7~\text{Days Per Week}} = 52.1775~\text{Weeks Per Year} $$ $$ \frac{52.1775~\text{Weeks Per Year}}{12~\text{Months Per Year}} = 4.348125~\text{Weeks Per Month} $$ # 2026-01-09 14:45:?? [[bid-price-modeling]] Suppose a true cost model, accounting for all relevant information available at time $t$. $C(t)$ returns a distribution whose [scale](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scale_parameter) decreases with $t$, and $C(0)$ maps to a single value. $t>0$ is time until the final payment. > ![250](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/89/Log-normal-pdfs.png/960px-Log-normal-pdfs.png) > > Figure: lognormal distributions with the same [location](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Location_parameter) > varied by [scale](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scale_parameter). # 2026-01-09 16:28:?? ### Occam's razor > [!info] Also Known As > * the principle of parsimony > * the law of parsimony recommends searching for explanations constructed with the smallest possible set of elements. Attributed to William of Ockham, 14th-century English philosopher and theologian. > _Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem_ > ("Entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity") > "Of two competing theories, the simpler explanation is to be preferred." > [!quote] [[klugman-et-al_2019_loss-models#4.2 The Role of Parameters]] > The principle of parsimony states that the simplest model > that adequately reflects reality should be used.