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The Lindy Effect
[!quote] Lindy effect - Wikipedia The Lindy effect (also known as Lindy's law) is a theorized phenomenon by which the future life expectancy of some non-perishable thing, like a technology or an idea, is proportional to its current age. Thus, the Lindy effect proposes the longer a period something has survived to exist or be used in the present, the longer its remaining life expectancy. Longevity implies a resistance to change, obsolescence, or competition, and greater odds of continued existence into the future. Where the Lindy effect applies, mortality rate decreases with time.
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The concept is named after Lindy's delicatessen in New York City, where the concept was informally theorized by comedians: a show running only 2 weeks would be expected to last another 2 weeks, while a show that has lasted 2 years could expect a further 2-year run.