vault backup: 2025-11-04 06:39:07

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2025-11-04 06:39:07 -05:00
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# Risk Oriented Estimating
<!--
%%
As catchy as the name is,
it may be more effective to communicate these thoughts as
a thorough critique of the limitations of traditional methods,
a
-->
%%
Risk-Oriented Estimating (ROE),
is a [[estimating-methodologies|methodology]]
@@ -35,11 +34,15 @@ increasing the probability of loss to a competitor.
%%
## Scratch
## TALK
Bid risk may fit a [Taleb distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taleb_distribution).
Actuarial Science
[Actuarial Science](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Actuarial_science)
strongly parallels construction estimation:
- cost of individual service is uncertain
- cost to customer must be minimized
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@@ -139,9 +142,9 @@ This interval can be determined from a population of possible prices.
The _accuracy_ of a risk-oriented estimate remains roughly the same
(approaching 100% with continuous input)
through the takeoff process, and, assuming no incorrect input,
through the takeoff process, and--assuming no incorrect input--
is entirely out of the hands of the estimator doing the "takeoff".
The previous chapters describe how a centralized system
Other notes describe how a centralized system
separates the concerns of adjustment factors
and data input for individual projects.
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---
id:
aliases: []
tags: []
title: Topics To Revisit
---
# Topics To Revisit
These are some terms and topics I've had written down on paper
that I think may be relevant later.
## Topological Sorting
[Topological Sorting](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Topological_sorting)
## Convex Hull
[Convex Hull](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convex_hull)
## Quantities
A **quantity** has a **value** and a **unit of measure** (e.g. 20ft)
## Personal Brand
Define personal brand