vault backup: 2025-11-04 06:39:07
This commit is contained in:
@@ -12,12 +12,11 @@ title: Risk Oriented Estimating
|
||||
---
|
||||
# Risk Oriented Estimating
|
||||
|
||||
<!--
|
||||
%%
|
||||
As catchy as the name is,
|
||||
it may be more effective to communicate these thoughts as
|
||||
a thorough critique of the limitations of traditional methods,
|
||||
a
|
||||
-->
|
||||
%%
|
||||
|
||||
Risk-Oriented Estimating (ROE),
|
||||
is a [[estimating-methodologies|methodology]]
|
||||
@@ -35,11 +34,15 @@ increasing the probability of loss to a competitor.
|
||||
|
||||
%%
|
||||
|
||||
## Scratch
|
||||
## TALK
|
||||
|
||||
Bid risk may fit a [Taleb distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taleb_distribution).
|
||||
|
||||
Actuarial Science
|
||||
[Actuarial Science](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Actuarial_science)
|
||||
strongly parallels construction estimation:
|
||||
|
||||
- cost of individual service is uncertain
|
||||
- cost to customer must be minimized
|
||||
|
||||
%%
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -139,9 +142,9 @@ This interval can be determined from a population of possible prices.
|
||||
|
||||
The _accuracy_ of a risk-oriented estimate remains roughly the same
|
||||
(approaching 100% with continuous input)
|
||||
through the takeoff process, and, assuming no incorrect input,
|
||||
through the takeoff process, and--assuming no incorrect input--
|
||||
is entirely out of the hands of the estimator doing the "takeoff".
|
||||
The previous chapters describe how a centralized system
|
||||
Other notes describe how a centralized system
|
||||
separates the concerns of adjustment factors
|
||||
and data input for individual projects.
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
|
||||
---
|
||||
id:
|
||||
aliases: []
|
||||
tags: []
|
||||
title: Topics To Revisit
|
||||
---
|
||||
# Topics To Revisit
|
||||
|
||||
These are some terms and topics I've had written down on paper
|
||||
that I think may be relevant later.
|
||||
|
||||
## Topological Sorting
|
||||
|
||||
[Topological Sorting](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Topological_sorting)
|
||||
|
||||
## Convex Hull
|
||||
|
||||
[Convex Hull](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convex_hull)
|
||||
|
||||
## Quantities
|
||||
|
||||
A **quantity** has a **value** and a **unit of measure** (e.g. 20ft)
|
||||
|
||||
## Personal Brand
|
||||
|
||||
Define personal brand
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user