vault backup: 2025-11-04 06:39:07

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@@ -12,12 +12,11 @@ title: Risk Oriented Estimating
--- ---
# Risk Oriented Estimating # Risk Oriented Estimating
<!-- %%
As catchy as the name is, As catchy as the name is,
it may be more effective to communicate these thoughts as it may be more effective to communicate these thoughts as
a thorough critique of the limitations of traditional methods, a thorough critique of the limitations of traditional methods,
a %%
-->
Risk-Oriented Estimating (ROE), Risk-Oriented Estimating (ROE),
is a [[estimating-methodologies|methodology]] is a [[estimating-methodologies|methodology]]
@@ -35,11 +34,15 @@ increasing the probability of loss to a competitor.
%% %%
## Scratch ## TALK
Bid risk may fit a [Taleb distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taleb_distribution). Bid risk may fit a [Taleb distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taleb_distribution).
Actuarial Science [Actuarial Science](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Actuarial_science)
strongly parallels construction estimation:
- cost of individual service is uncertain
- cost to customer must be minimized
%% %%
@@ -139,9 +142,9 @@ This interval can be determined from a population of possible prices.
The _accuracy_ of a risk-oriented estimate remains roughly the same The _accuracy_ of a risk-oriented estimate remains roughly the same
(approaching 100% with continuous input) (approaching 100% with continuous input)
through the takeoff process, and, assuming no incorrect input, through the takeoff process, and--assuming no incorrect input--
is entirely out of the hands of the estimator doing the "takeoff". is entirely out of the hands of the estimator doing the "takeoff".
The previous chapters describe how a centralized system Other notes describe how a centralized system
separates the concerns of adjustment factors separates the concerns of adjustment factors
and data input for individual projects. and data input for individual projects.
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---
id:
aliases: []
tags: []
title: Topics To Revisit
---
# Topics To Revisit
These are some terms and topics I've had written down on paper
that I think may be relevant later.
## Topological Sorting
[Topological Sorting](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Topological_sorting)
## Convex Hull
[Convex Hull](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convex_hull)
## Quantities
A **quantity** has a **value** and a **unit of measure** (e.g. 20ft)
## Personal Brand
Define personal brand