vault backup: 2026-05-27 11:12:04

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2026-05-27 11:12:04 -04:00
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## Technicality
In other industries, estimating is treated appropriately like a data science.
In ours, [[gut-feel]] dominates decision making.
In ours, [[intuition]] dominates decision making.
%% TODO: %%
[[estimator-calibration]]
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## Devices
Takeoff should always(?) use the
`DOES NOT INCLUDE COST OF DEVICES AND CABLE` assemblies,
since we will always(?) have a fire alarm quote.
### Smoke Detectors
1. `COMMON ASSEMBLIES`/`FIRE ALARM & DAS SYSTEMS`/`INITIATING DEVICES WITH WIRE - ...`/`SMOKE DETECTOR W/ BASE - ...`
@@ -190,11 +194,12 @@ For each stairwell:
_Design Build (method 1):_
* Count every 75 ft,
* measure with circles on Bluebeam
* or divide relevant SF area by 4415
* $\pi(\frac{75}{2})^2 \approx 4415$
* or divide relevant SF area by 4415[^2]
* every elevator lobby, and
* every BOH room on the first floor and garage levels.
[^2]: $\pi(\frac{75}{2})^2 \approx 4415$
_Design Build (alternative method):_
* 15ft from end of corridor,
* then every 50ft
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---
aliases:
- IEEE
title: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
tags: []
---
# Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
> The [Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Institute_of_Electrical_and_Electronics_Engineers)
> is an American 501(c)(3) charitable professional organization
> for electrical engineering, electronics engineering, and related disciplines.
## Style Manual
[IEEE Editorial Style Manual](https://journals.ieeeauthorcenter.ieee.org/create-your-ieee-journal-article/create-the-text-of-your-article/ieee-editorial-style-manual/)
[The Chicago Manual of Style](https://www.chicagomanualofstyle.org/home.html)
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---
id: 2026-05-23
title: 2026-05-23
tags: []
weekly: "[[2026w21]]"
monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
previous: "[[2026-05-22]]"
---
# 2026-05-23
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---
id: 2026-05-24
title: 2026-05-24
tags: []
weekly: "[[2026w22]]"
monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
previous: "[[2026-05-23]]"
---
# 2026-05-24
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---
id: 2026-05-25
title: 2026-05-25
tags: []
weekly: "[[2026w22]]"
monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
previous: "[[2026-05-24]]"
---
# 2026-05-25
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---
id: 2026-05-26
title: 2026-05-26
tags: []
weekly: "[[2026w22]]"
monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
previous: "[[2026-05-25]]"
---
# 2026-05-26
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---
id: 2026-05-27
title: 2026-05-27
tags: []
weekly: "[[2026w22]]"
monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
previous: "[[2026-05-26]]"
---
# 2026-05-27
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---
title: 2026w22
tags: []
yearly: "[[2026]]"
previous: "[[2026w21]]"
---
# 2026w22
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## Risk Tolerance
Determining risk tolerance is a task usually appropriated by executives
(often based on [[gut-feel]]),
(often based on [[intuition]]),
but that is better determined mathematically.
[Risk of ruin](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_of_ruin)
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@@ -47,7 +47,7 @@ construction estimating as a profession
suffers from poor conditions for natural improvement of [[estimator-calibration]],
namely delayed and uninformative feedback.
As a consequence,
decisions are made on [[gut-feel]] at best,
decisions are made on [[intuition]] at best,
and superstition at worst.
The suitability of estimating methods
is judged based on [value](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_(ethics))[^2]
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@@ -63,7 +63,7 @@ and when they are simply bad luck.
The last case is where I'd bet the perceived value of ConEst is found.[^4]
I can't help but feel that this effort is misplaced.
If project management is like estimating,
If [[pdi-operations|ops]] is like [[pdi-estimating|estimating]],
I have no doubt that they could _all_ benefit from training.
Identifying who exactly needs it more, then, is pointless.
As well to identify which cases of great project success