vault backup: 2026-05-27 11:12:04

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2026-05-27 11:12:04 -04:00
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commit 2ba8c9a35b
13 changed files with 85 additions and 6 deletions
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@@ -47,7 +47,7 @@ construction estimating as a profession
suffers from poor conditions for natural improvement of [[estimator-calibration]],
namely delayed and uninformative feedback.
As a consequence,
decisions are made on [[gut-feel]] at best,
decisions are made on [[intuition]] at best,
and superstition at worst.
The suitability of estimating methods
is judged based on [value](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_(ethics))[^2]
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@@ -63,7 +63,7 @@ and when they are simply bad luck.
The last case is where I'd bet the perceived value of ConEst is found.[^4]
I can't help but feel that this effort is misplaced.
If project management is like estimating,
If [[pdi-operations|ops]] is like [[pdi-estimating|estimating]],
I have no doubt that they could _all_ benefit from training.
Identifying who exactly needs it more, then, is pointless.
As well to identify which cases of great project success