vault backup: 2026-05-27 11:12:04
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@@ -88,7 +88,7 @@ even those that could be done by one person.
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## Technicality
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In other industries, estimating is treated appropriately like a data science.
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In ours, [[gut-feel]] dominates decision making.
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In ours, [[intuition]] dominates decision making.
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%% TODO: %%
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[[estimator-calibration]]
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@@ -162,6 +162,10 @@ For each stairwell:
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## Devices
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Takeoff should always(?) use the
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`DOES NOT INCLUDE COST OF DEVICES AND CABLE` assemblies,
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since we will always(?) have a fire alarm quote.
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### Smoke Detectors
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1. `COMMON ASSEMBLIES`/`FIRE ALARM & DAS SYSTEMS`/`INITIATING DEVICES WITH WIRE - ...`/`SMOKE DETECTOR W/ BASE - ...`
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@@ -190,11 +194,12 @@ For each stairwell:
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_Design Build (method 1):_
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* Count every 75 ft,
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* measure with circles on Bluebeam
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* or divide relevant SF area by 4415
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* $\pi(\frac{75}{2})^2 \approx 4415$
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* or divide relevant SF area by 4415[^2]
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* every elevator lobby, and
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* every BOH room on the first floor and garage levels.
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[^2]: $\pi(\frac{75}{2})^2 \approx 4415$
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_Design Build (alternative method):_
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* 15ft from end of corridor,
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* then every 50ft
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@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
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---
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aliases:
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- IEEE
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title: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
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tags: []
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---
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# Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
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> The [Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Institute_of_Electrical_and_Electronics_Engineers)
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> is an American 501(c)(3) charitable professional organization
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> for electrical engineering, electronics engineering, and related disciplines.
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## Style Manual
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[IEEE Editorial Style Manual](https://journals.ieeeauthorcenter.ieee.org/create-your-ieee-journal-article/create-the-text-of-your-article/ieee-editorial-style-manual/)
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[The Chicago Manual of Style](https://www.chicagomanualofstyle.org/home.html)
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@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
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---
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id: 2026-05-23
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title: 2026-05-23
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tags: []
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weekly: "[[2026w21]]"
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monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
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quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
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previous: "[[2026-05-22]]"
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---
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# 2026-05-23
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@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
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---
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id: 2026-05-24
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title: 2026-05-24
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tags: []
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weekly: "[[2026w22]]"
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monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
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quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
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previous: "[[2026-05-23]]"
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---
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# 2026-05-24
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@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
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---
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id: 2026-05-25
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title: 2026-05-25
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tags: []
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weekly: "[[2026w22]]"
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monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
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quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
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previous: "[[2026-05-24]]"
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---
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# 2026-05-25
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@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
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---
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id: 2026-05-26
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title: 2026-05-26
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tags: []
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weekly: "[[2026w22]]"
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monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
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quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
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previous: "[[2026-05-25]]"
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---
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# 2026-05-26
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@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
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---
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id: 2026-05-27
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title: 2026-05-27
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tags: []
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weekly: "[[2026w22]]"
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monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
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quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
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previous: "[[2026-05-26]]"
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---
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# 2026-05-27
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@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
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---
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title: 2026w22
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tags: []
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yearly: "[[2026]]"
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previous: "[[2026w21]]"
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---
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# 2026w22
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@@ -73,7 +73,7 @@ in the most likely case of each axis of uncertainty.
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## Risk Tolerance
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Determining risk tolerance is a task usually appropriated by executives
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(often based on [[gut-feel]]),
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(often based on [[intuition]]),
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but that is better determined mathematically.
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[Risk of ruin](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_of_ruin)
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@@ -47,7 +47,7 @@ construction estimating as a profession
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suffers from poor conditions for natural improvement of [[estimator-calibration]],
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namely delayed and uninformative feedback.
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As a consequence,
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decisions are made on [[gut-feel]] at best,
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decisions are made on [[intuition]] at best,
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and superstition at worst.
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The suitability of estimating methods
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is judged based on [value](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_(ethics))[^2]
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@@ -63,7 +63,7 @@ and when they are simply bad luck.
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The last case is where I'd bet the perceived value of ConEst is found.[^4]
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I can't help but feel that this effort is misplaced.
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If project management is like estimating,
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If [[pdi-operations|ops]] is like [[pdi-estimating|estimating]],
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I have no doubt that they could _all_ benefit from training.
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Identifying who exactly needs it more, then, is pointless.
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As well to identify which cases of great project success
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