vault backup: 2025-10-10 14:37:17

2025-10-10 14:37:17 -04:00
parent fb46ae17d3
commit 55b9385f62
79 changed files with 860 additions and 728 deletions
@@ -2,7 +2,9 @@
 id: the-failure-of-risk-management
 aliases: []
 tags:
-  - destiny/uncertain
+  - destiny/permanent
+  - status/complete
+  - topic/risk
  - type/media-commentary
 title: _The Failure of Risk Management_
 ---
@@ -54,7 +56,7 @@ It describes the process of "calibration"
 by which people can be trained to compensate for this bias
 and make predictions far more accurately.

-See [[calibration-questions]] for more.
+See [[estimator-calibration]] for more.

 Experts tend to be good at creating heuristics,
 but do not apply them consistently in practice.