vault backup: 2026-05-15 00:04:10
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Vendored
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---
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id: 2026-05-15
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title: 2026-05-15
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tags: []
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weekly: "[[2026w20]]"
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monthly: "[[2026-05]]"
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quarterly: "[[2026q2]]"
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previous: "[[2026-05-14]]"
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---
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# 2026-05-15
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@@ -7,7 +7,8 @@ daily: "[[2026-05-14]]"
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# 2026-05-14 17:57:07
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# 2026-05-14 17:57:07
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In my years of using [[accubid|Accubid]] nearly every work day
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In my years of using [[accubid|Accubid]] nearly every work day
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I've always longed for good analogies for using the wrong [[tools|tool]] for the job.
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I've always longed for good analogies
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for using the wrong [[tools|tool]] for the job.
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I found one that could almost be said to be in common use:
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I found one that could almost be said to be in common use:
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"Hitting a nail with the handle of the hammer"
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"Hitting a nail with the handle of the hammer"
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But the phrase is not ideal for my purpose.
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But the phrase is not ideal for my purpose.
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@@ -24,13 +25,14 @@ you have still failed to use it as a fastener.
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Despite its name,
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Despite its name,
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Accubid is clearly not meant for bidding.
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Accubid is clearly not meant for bidding.
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Bidding requires an appreciation of uncertainty and risk
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Bidding requires an appreciation of uncertainty and risk
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that naive [[decrease-in-sigma|zero-sigma]] "estimating" does nothing to assist.
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that naive [[decrease-in-sigma|zero-sigma]] "estimating"
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does nothing to assist.
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Estimators have to do that part, _the important part_, in their head.
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Estimators have to do that part, _the important part_, in their head.
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It ought to be glaringly obvious to Trimble
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It ought to be glaringly obvious to Trimble
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that their software is not being used as intended.
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that their software is not being used as intended.
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The use of items to be budgetary of other item
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The use of items to be budgetary of other items
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which are not known or not present in the database
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which are not known, or are not present in the database
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is perhaps universal,
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is perhaps universal,
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even though this false specificity is detrimental
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even though this false specificity is detrimental
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to both estimating and operations.
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to both estimating and operations.
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@@ -39,7 +41,8 @@ I believe Trimble may be _deliberately avoiding_ respect for uncertainty, despit
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because to support price uncertainty would call into question
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because to support price uncertainty would call into question
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the utility of their biggest earners and up-sells.
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the utility of their biggest earners and up-sells.
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Tra-Ser is the industry gold standard you can't live without,
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Tra-Ser is the industry gold standard you can't live without,
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but what good is a single price, which isn't even guaranteed for purchase _today_,
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but what good is a single price,
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which isn't even guaranteed for purchase _today_,
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compared to a range estimated for the lifetime of the project?
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compared to a range estimated for the lifetime of the project?
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If you believe we live in Trimble's fantasy world
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If you believe we live in Trimble's fantasy world
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where you can buy out a bid BOM as-is
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where you can buy out a bid BOM as-is
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