vault backup: 2026-02-20 14:53:32

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 # 2026-01-30
-
-# 2026-01-30 08:44:29
-
-#topic/meta
-
-Follow-up to [[2026-01-28#2026-01-28 10:02]].
-
-I really would like to implement timestamped notes,
-especially while it's still somewhat practical to split my old dailies.
-
-Only the lack of plugin support stops me.
-
-# 2026-01-30 09:06:??
-
-#topic/meta
-
-I tried the Smart Connections community plugin.
-I can't imagine who it could be useful for.
-It seems to just identify large blocks of similar content,
-which means that every daily note is connected to every other.
-
-# 2026-01-30 13:42:??
-
-Often when I consider learning a new skill or improving an existing one,
-I conceive of a system that would _force_ me to improve,
-rather than forget about it (as I am won to do).
-See [[2026-01-19#Ulysses Pacts]].
-
-Conventional "home assistant" tech and doctrine
-caters to a class of people I find bizarre,
-those that would spend enormous sums of cash and effort
-just for the marginal benefit
-of not having to touch light switches as often as normal people.
-Instead they get to take out their phone,
-find and open the light switch app,
-and touch a virtual light switch
-because the routines they programmed were too conservative.
-
-Human or software,
-an assistant without agency
-_and the will to contradict you_
-is worthless.
-If the effort to _communicate_ your instructions
-exceeds the effort to perform them,
-you will always do the task yourself.
-
-# 2026-01-30 16:29:??
-
-#topic/math/statistics
-
-### Laplace's Rule of Succession (LRS)
-
-> [!info]
-> Pierre-Simon Laplace
-
-If some event occurred $m$ times in $n$ observations,
-the probability the event will occur in the next observation
-is given by:
-
-$$
-\frac{1+m}{2+n}
-$$
-
-### Rule of Five
-
-The probability that any given sample is above the median is 50%.
-The probability that the minimum and maximum values of $n$ samples
-_don't_ straddle the median is $(\frac{1}{2})^{n}$,
-equivalent to getting the same result on a flipped coin
-$n$ times in a row.
-
-There is a 93.75% chance that the median of a population
-is between the smallest and largest values
-in any random sample of five from that population.
-
-# 2026-01-30 18:33:??
-
-#topic/personal-productivity
-
-Why is it that I find it so easy, even compulsory,
-to clean my house while working from home,
-even after returning from work on-site?
-Why again does that feeling of necessity
-persist even into the evening,
-when I would normally be home anyway,
-but unable to summon the will to do anything
-about rapidly growing piles of dirty dishes and clothes?