vault backup: 2026-05-30 21:37:23

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+---
+id: 2026-05-30T20:18:01-0400
+title: 2026-05-30 20:18:01
+tags: []
+daily: "[[2026-05-30]]"
+---
+# 2026-05-30 20:18:01
+
+## "Record-Breaking Probability"
+
+[[how-to-measure-anything-in-project-management#Estimating Impact Under Uncertainty]]
+
+Hubbard doesn't explain the concept
+of "record-breaking probability" to my tastes.
+more to the point,
+he gives special attention to minimum and maximum
+when the probability that the next sample will have _any_ rank
+is given by 1/(n+1).