vault backup: 2026-01-25 23:46:04
This commit is contained in:
Vendored
+5
@@ -19,6 +19,11 @@
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"type": "file",
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"ctime": 1766074735360,
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"ctime": 1766074735360,
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"path": "consolidate-estimating-thoughts.md"
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"path": "consolidate-estimating-thoughts.md"
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},
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{
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Vendored
+2
-1
@@ -21,5 +21,6 @@
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"periodic-notes",
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"obsidian-tasks-plugin",
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"digitalgarden"
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]
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||||||
+87
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+32690
File diff suppressed because one or more lines are too long
+11
@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
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@@ -0,0 +1,508 @@
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
||||||
|
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|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
||||||
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
||||||
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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display: flex;
|
||||||
|
align-items: flex-start;
|
||||||
|
gap: 12px;
|
||||||
|
padding: 12px;
|
||||||
|
background: var(--background-primary);
|
||||||
|
border-radius: 6px;
|
||||||
|
margin-bottom: 16px;
|
||||||
|
border: 1px solid var(--background-modifier-border);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-info .svg-icon {
|
||||||
|
width: 18px;
|
||||||
|
height: 18px;
|
||||||
|
flex-shrink: 0;
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-muted);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-info-text {
|
||||||
|
font-size: 0.9em;
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-muted);
|
||||||
|
line-height: 1.5;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-button-container {
|
||||||
|
display: flex;
|
||||||
|
justify-content: center;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-button-container button {
|
||||||
|
padding: 10px 24px;
|
||||||
|
font-size: 1em;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
/* Update Progress States */
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-progress {
|
||||||
|
margin-top: 16px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-loading,
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-success,
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-error {
|
||||||
|
display: flex;
|
||||||
|
flex-direction: column;
|
||||||
|
align-items: center;
|
||||||
|
text-align: center;
|
||||||
|
padding: 24px;
|
||||||
|
background: var(--background-secondary);
|
||||||
|
border-radius: 8px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-spinner {
|
||||||
|
margin-bottom: 16px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-spinner .svg-icon {
|
||||||
|
width: 32px;
|
||||||
|
height: 32px;
|
||||||
|
color: var(--interactive-accent);
|
||||||
|
animation: dg-rotate 1.5s linear infinite;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-loading-text {
|
||||||
|
font-size: 1.1em;
|
||||||
|
font-weight: 500;
|
||||||
|
margin: 0 0 4px 0;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-loading-subtext {
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-muted);
|
||||||
|
font-size: 0.9em;
|
||||||
|
margin: 0;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-icon {
|
||||||
|
width: 48px;
|
||||||
|
height: 48px;
|
||||||
|
border-radius: 50%;
|
||||||
|
display: flex;
|
||||||
|
align-items: center;
|
||||||
|
justify-content: center;
|
||||||
|
margin-bottom: 16px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-icon .svg-icon {
|
||||||
|
width: 28px;
|
||||||
|
height: 28px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-icon-success {
|
||||||
|
background: rgba(var(--color-green-rgb), 0.15);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-icon-success .svg-icon {
|
||||||
|
color: var(--color-green);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-icon-error {
|
||||||
|
background: rgba(var(--color-red-rgb), 0.15);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-icon-error .svg-icon {
|
||||||
|
color: var(--color-red);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-title {
|
||||||
|
margin: 0 0 8px 0;
|
||||||
|
font-size: 1.2em;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-message {
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-muted);
|
||||||
|
margin: 0 0 16px 0;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-link-container {
|
||||||
|
margin-top: 8px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-link {
|
||||||
|
display: inline-flex;
|
||||||
|
align-items: center;
|
||||||
|
gap: 6px;
|
||||||
|
padding: 8px 16px;
|
||||||
|
background: var(--interactive-accent);
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-on-accent);
|
||||||
|
border-radius: 6px;
|
||||||
|
text-decoration: none;
|
||||||
|
font-weight: 500;
|
||||||
|
transition: opacity 0.15s ease;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-link:hover {
|
||||||
|
opacity: 0.9;
|
||||||
|
text-decoration: none;
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-on-accent);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-update-link .svg-icon {
|
||||||
|
width: 14px;
|
||||||
|
height: 14px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
/* PR History Styles */
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history {
|
||||||
|
margin-top: 16px;
|
||||||
|
border-top: 1px solid var(--background-modifier-border);
|
||||||
|
padding-top: 16px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-header {
|
||||||
|
display: flex;
|
||||||
|
align-items: center;
|
||||||
|
gap: 8px;
|
||||||
|
cursor: pointer;
|
||||||
|
padding: 8px;
|
||||||
|
border-radius: 6px;
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-muted);
|
||||||
|
font-size: 0.9em;
|
||||||
|
transition: background 0.15s ease;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-header:hover {
|
||||||
|
background: var(--background-secondary);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-header .svg-icon {
|
||||||
|
width: 16px;
|
||||||
|
height: 16px;
|
||||||
|
transition: transform 0.2s ease;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-header .svg-icon.is-expanded {
|
||||||
|
transform: rotate(90deg);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-list {
|
||||||
|
padding: 8px 0 0 24px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-item {
|
||||||
|
display: flex;
|
||||||
|
align-items: center;
|
||||||
|
gap: 8px;
|
||||||
|
padding: 8px;
|
||||||
|
border-radius: 4px;
|
||||||
|
margin-bottom: 4px;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-item:hover {
|
||||||
|
background: var(--background-secondary);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-item .svg-icon {
|
||||||
|
width: 16px;
|
||||||
|
height: 16px;
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-muted);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-link {
|
||||||
|
color: var(--text-normal);
|
||||||
|
text-decoration: none;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
.dg-pr-history-link:hover {
|
||||||
|
color: var(--interactive-accent);
|
||||||
|
text-decoration: underline;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
+1
-1
@@ -112,7 +112,7 @@
|
|||||||
"library2": {
|
"library2": {
|
||||||
"type": "excalidrawlib",
|
"type": "excalidrawlib",
|
||||||
"version": 2,
|
"version": 2,
|
||||||
"source": "https://github.com/zsviczian/obsidian-excalidraw-plugin/releases/tag/2.19.1",
|
"source": "https://github.com/zsviczian/obsidian-excalidraw-plugin/releases/tag/2.19.2",
|
||||||
"libraryItems": []
|
"libraryItems": []
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
"imageElementNotice": true,
|
"imageElementNotice": true,
|
||||||
|
|||||||
Vendored
+2
-1
@@ -23,6 +23,7 @@
|
|||||||
"TQ_show_tags": "checkbox",
|
"TQ_show_tags": "checkbox",
|
||||||
"TQ_show_task_count": "checkbox",
|
"TQ_show_task_count": "checkbox",
|
||||||
"TQ_show_tree": "checkbox",
|
"TQ_show_tree": "checkbox",
|
||||||
"TQ_show_urgency": "checkbox"
|
"TQ_show_urgency": "checkbox",
|
||||||
|
"dg-publish": "checkbox"
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
@@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 13723 Feather Sound Circle East #210
|
# 13723 Feather Sound Circle East #210
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+5
-2
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id: 2025-07-18_estimating-isnt-engineering
|
id: 2025-07-18
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: 2025-07-18
|
title: 2025-07-18
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
@@ -9,10 +9,13 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/construction
|
- topic/construction
|
||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- type/anecdote
|
- type/anecdote
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-07-18
|
# 2025-07-18
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-07-18 --- "Estimating Isn't Engineering"
|
## 2025-07-18 ??:??
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
### Estimating Isn't Engineering
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
#topic/estimating
|
#topic/estimating
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: "2025-10-20"
|
title: 2025-10-20
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-10-20
|
# 2025-10-20
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -14,4 +15,4 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
"Rogue AI" is a common trope,
|
"Rogue AI" is a common trope,
|
||||||
but the reality of hallucination
|
but the reality of hallucination
|
||||||
can be far more horrifying.
|
can be far more horrifying.
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+4
-3
@@ -1,19 +1,20 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-10-26
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
title: 2025-10-26
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-10-26
|
# 2025-10-26
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-10-26 18:36 --- Sunday evening
|
## 2025-10-26 18:36 --- Sunday evening
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
#topic/hobbies/reading
|
#topic/hobbies/reading
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
I read Harlan Ellison's _I Have No Mouth, and I Must Scream_ this morning.
|
I read Harlan Ellison's _I Have No Mouth, and I Must Scream_ this morning.
|
||||||
It took me about two hours. What may be curious about that is the story is
|
It took me about two hours. What may be curious about that is the story is
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+5
-4
@@ -1,19 +1,20 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-10-31
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
title: 2025-10-31
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-10-31
|
# 2025-10-31
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-10-31 18:26 --- Friday Evening
|
## 2025-10-31 18:26 --- Friday Evening
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
#topic/hobbies/birding
|
#topic/hobbies/birding
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
This morning as I was leaving for work I saw a massive congregation
|
This morning as I was leaving for work I saw a massive congregation
|
||||||
of all the walky water birds I love so much. A hundred and more, milling about
|
of all the walky water birds I love so much. A hundred and more, milling about
|
||||||
@@ -41,7 +42,7 @@ Today was a good day---I've been at this for a while, one second...
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-10-31 19:48 --- Late Friday Evening, Halloween btw
|
## 2025-10-31 19:48 --- Late Friday Evening, Halloween btw
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
#topic/hobbies/birding
|
#topic/hobbies/birding
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Today was a good day. If I could see so many gorgeous creatures every day
|
Today was a good day. If I could see so many gorgeous creatures every day
|
||||||
as I have this one I might never shed another tear. I love birds.
|
as I have this one I might never shed another tear. I love birds.
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,13 +1,14 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-01
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-01
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-01
|
# 2025-11-01
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
- type/minutes
|
- type/minutes
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-04
|
# 2025-11-04
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,13 +1,14 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-05
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-05
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-05
|
# 2025-11-05
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,13 +1,14 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-06
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- original-format/digital-text
|
- original-format/digital-text
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-06
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-06
|
# 2025-11-06
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-10
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
@@ -8,7 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
- original-format/typewritten-print
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-10
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-10
|
# 2025-11-10
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,18 +1,19 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-11
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-11
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-11
|
# 2025-11-11
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-11-11 06:06 --- Tuesday Morning, Before Work
|
## 2025-11-11 06:06 --- Tuesday Morning, Before Work
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
#topic/estimating #original-format/typewritten-print
|
#topic/estimating #original-format/typewritten-print
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
One of the most appealing aspects of estimating
|
One of the most appealing aspects of estimating
|
||||||
to me is the dynamic we have with our employers.
|
to me is the dynamic we have with our employers.
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-13
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-13
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-13
|
# 2025-11-13
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-14
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-14
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-14
|
# 2025-11-14
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-16
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-16
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-16
|
# 2025-11-16
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-18
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: ""
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-18
|
# 2025-11-18
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-20
|
title: 2025-11-20
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-20
|
# 2025-11-20
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-11-21
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-11-21
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-11-21
|
# 2025-11-21
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-12-02
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-12-02
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-02
|
# 2025-12-02
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-12-03
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-12-03
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-03
|
# 2025-12-03
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+4
-3
@@ -1,18 +1,19 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-12-04
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: ""
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-04
|
# 2025-12-04
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-12-04 09:51
|
## 2025-12-04 09:51
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
#topic/automation
|
#topic/automation
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
* [ ] TODO: Build test case estimating helper html app ➕ 2026-12-04
|
* [ ] TODO: Build test case estimating helper html app ➕ 2026-12-04
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -34,4 +35,4 @@ A good test case would be a simple 3 variable equation solver.
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
speed
|
speed
|
||||||
distance
|
distance
|
||||||
time
|
time
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,15 +1,16 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-12-05
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: ""
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-05
|
# 2025-12-05
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-12-05 10:41
|
## 2025-12-05 10:41
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
[[pdi-breakdowns#Area: Office Space]]
|
[[pdi-breakdowns#Area: Office Space]]
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,15 +1,16 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-12-06
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-12-06
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-06
|
# 2025-12-06
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-12-06 13:13
|
## 2025-12-06 13:13
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
[[intellectual-capital]]
|
[[intellectual-capital]]
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,15 +1,16 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2025-12-08
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
title: 2025-12-08
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-08
|
# 2025-12-08
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-12-08 11:03
|
## 2025-12-08 11:03
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
[[ambiguity-in-construction-estimating]]
|
[[ambiguity-in-construction-estimating]]
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-09
|
# 2025-12-09
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-10
|
# 2025-12-10
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-12
|
# 2025-12-12
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: "2025-12-13"
|
title: 2025-12-13
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-13
|
# 2025-12-13
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-14
|
# 2025-12-14
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-16
|
# 2025-12-16
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-17
|
# 2025-12-17
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: "2025-12-18"
|
title: 2025-12-18
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-18
|
# 2025-12-18
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -63,4 +64,4 @@ and will be signing a contract with Trimble in late January.
|
|||||||
## 2025-12-18 15:30
|
## 2025-12-18 15:30
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
[Kip (unit) - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kip_\(unit\))
|
[Kip (unit) - Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kip_\(unit\))
|
||||||
[Construction Cost Estimating](https://www.quantity-takeoff.com/index.htm)
|
[Construction Cost Estimating](https://www.quantity-takeoff.com/index.htm)
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-19
|
# 2025-12-19
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-20
|
# 2025-12-20
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,15 +1,16 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: "2025-12-22"
|
title: 2025-12-22
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-22
|
# 2025-12-22
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## 2025-12-22 08:51
|
## 2025-12-22 08:51
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
[[music-theory]]
|
[[music-theory]]
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+3
-2
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: "2025-12-30"
|
title: 2025-12-30
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2025-12-30
|
# 2025-12-30
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -18,4 +19,4 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
3.ApplyThatSequence([-1,0,1,2,3])
|
3.ApplyThatSequence([-1,0,1,2,3])
|
||||||
# returns [2,2,3,5,8]
|
# returns [2,2,3,5,8]
|
||||||
```
|
```
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-01
|
# 2026-01-01
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-02
|
# 2026-01-02
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-04
|
# 2026-01-04
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-05
|
# 2026-01-05
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-06
|
# 2026-01-06
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-07
|
# 2026-01-07
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-08
|
# 2026-01-08
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+7
-4
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: "2026-01-09"
|
title: 2026-01-09
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-09
|
# 2026-01-09
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -59,9 +60,11 @@ High Rise .110--.120 hr/sqft
|
|||||||
## 2026-01-09 12:00
|
## 2026-01-09 12:00
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
$$
|
$$
|
||||||
\frac{146097}{400} = 365.2425~\text{Days Per Year}
|
\begin{gather*}
|
||||||
\frac{20871}{400} = 52.1775~\text{Weeks Per Year}
|
\frac{146097}{400} = 365.2425~\text{Days Per Year} \
|
||||||
|
\frac{20871}{400} = 52.1775~\text{Weeks Per Year} \
|
||||||
\frac{6957}{1600} = 4.348125~\text{Weeks Per Month}
|
\frac{6957}{1600} = 4.348125~\text{Weeks Per Month}
|
||||||
|
\end{gather*}
|
||||||
$$
|
$$
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
$$
|
$$
|
||||||
@@ -108,4 +111,4 @@ Attributed to William of Ockham, 14th-century English philosopher and theologian
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
> [!quote] [[klugman-et-al_2019_loss-models#4.2 The Role of Parameters]]
|
> [!quote] [[klugman-et-al_2019_loss-models#4.2 The Role of Parameters]]
|
||||||
> The principle of parsimony states that the simplest model
|
> The principle of parsimony states that the simplest model
|
||||||
> that adequately reflects reality should be used.
|
> that adequately reflects reality should be used.
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: "2026-01-10"
|
title: 2026-01-10
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-10
|
# 2026-01-10
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-11
|
# 2026-01-11
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-12
|
# 2026-01-12
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-13
|
# 2026-01-13
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-14
|
# 2026-01-14
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -1,12 +1,13 @@
|
|||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
id:
|
id:
|
||||||
aliases: []
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
title: "2026-01-15"
|
title: 2026-01-15
|
||||||
tags:
|
tags:
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-15
|
# 2026-01-15
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-19
|
# 2026-01-19
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+2
-1
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-20
|
# 2026-01-20
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -34,4 +35,4 @@ could be easily replaced with documents like this one.
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
Jfarrari The Unknowing (Acoustic)
|
Jfarrari The Unknowing (Acoustic)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
[[music-analysis]]
|
[[music-analysis]]
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-22
|
# 2026-01-22
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/daily
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026-01-23
|
# 2026-01-23
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
+124
@@ -0,0 +1,124 @@
|
|||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
id:
|
||||||
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: 2026-01-25
|
||||||
|
tags:
|
||||||
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
|
- type/daily
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
# 2026-01-25
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## 2026-01-25 18:46
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
### Calculating Monthly Principal & Interest Payment
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
For a **fixed-rate, fully-amortizing mortgage**,
|
||||||
|
the monthly payment is computed using the **standard amortization formula**:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#### Standard Amortization Formula
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
|
A = P \cdot \frac{i(1+i)^n}{(1+i)^n-1}
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Where:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
* $A$ = periodic payment amount
|
||||||
|
* $P$ = amount of principal, net of initial payments
|
||||||
|
* $i$ = periodic interest rate
|
||||||
|
* $n$ = total number of payments
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> [!info]
|
||||||
|
> $A$ is constant over the term,
|
||||||
|
> the interest portion decreases while the principal portion increases.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
#### Example
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
For a 30-year mortgage of $268,000 at 5.75% annual interest:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
|
\begin{align*}
|
||||||
|
P &= 268000
|
||||||
|
i &= \frac{0.0575}{12} = 0.004791\bar{6} \\
|
||||||
|
n &= 30 \cdot 12 = 360
|
||||||
|
\end{align*}
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The monthly payment amount $A$ is given by:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
|
\begin{align*}
|
||||||
|
A &= 268000 \cdot \frac{0.004791\bar{6} \cdot (1+ 0.004791\bar{6})^{360}}{(1+ 0.004791\bar{6})^{360} - 1} \\
|
||||||
|
A &\approx 1563.98
|
||||||
|
\end{align*}
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
### Calculating Annual Percentage Rate (APR)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
|
\text{APR} = \frac{\frac{\text{Interest} + \text{Fees}}{\text{Principle}}}{\text{Term Years}}
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## 2026-01-25 21:02
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[[the-failure-of-risk-management]]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
If I have a general complaint about [[hubbard_2020_failure]] it's this:
|
||||||
|
Hubbard fails to recognize logical parallels between his different arguments,
|
||||||
|
so to a critical reader they appear contradictory:
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
In [[hubbard_2020_failure#Break It Down, Then Do the Math]]
|
||||||
|
Hubbard introduces decomposition as a method for reducing error in estimates,
|
||||||
|
Providing Fermi's "piano tuners in Chicago" problem as an example,
|
||||||
|
without acknowledging that _Fermi_ supplied the decomposition.
|
||||||
|
Hubbard also references [[macgregor_1994_judgemental-decomposition]]
|
||||||
|
which is a similar case.
|
||||||
|
Neither of these examples suggest that decomposition is a magic bullet,
|
||||||
|
or even that a layman's decomposition wouldn't be worse than nothing.
|
||||||
|
Despite this, Hubbard ends the section without qualifier:
|
||||||
|
"Clearly, decomposition helps estimates."
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
This section comes only pages after
|
||||||
|
[[hubbard_2020_failure#The Measurement Inversion]]
|
||||||
|
in which Hubbard warns against seeking detail for the sake of it.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
See also [[the-failure-of-risk-management#_Exsupero Ursus_]].
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
## 2026-01-25 22:59
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[[macgregor_1994_judgemental-decomposition]]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I really hate this study.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I may be out of my league,
|
||||||
|
but it seems wrong to draw conclusions about decomposition as a method
|
||||||
|
when the work was done by the researchers,
|
||||||
|
especially when some of their decompositions really suck.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> ##### Circumference of 50¢ coin
|
||||||
|
>
|
||||||
|
> * Diameter in inches of a 50¢ coin
|
||||||
|
> * Number of pieces of string the length of the diameter needed to wrap around circumference
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
That's not a decomposition.
|
||||||
|
If you don't remember $\pi$
|
||||||
|
that's a harder problem than it was before.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
> ##### Bushels of wheat
|
||||||
|
>
|
||||||
|
> * Population of the world
|
||||||
|
> * Number of bushels of wheat consumed per person per year
|
||||||
|
> * Proportion of wheat wasted per year
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
I might have included how much a bushel is,[^1]
|
||||||
|
there's an order of magnitude right there.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
[^1]: $1~\text{US bushel} \equiv 9\frac{3571}{11550}~\text{US Gallons} \approx 9.3~\text{US Gallons}$
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
The study suggests decomposition has no effect on estimate confidence
|
||||||
|
---which I'm tempted to believe because its funny
|
||||||
|
and it tracks with my anecdotal experience---
|
||||||
|
but I wonder if subjects using their own decompositions would present similarly.
|
||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- destiny/permanent
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/yearly
|
- type/yearly
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# 2026
|
# 2026
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -10,18 +10,19 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/meta
|
- topic/meta
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia
|
- type/encyclopedia
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# zmVault
|
# zmVault
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
> [!info]
|
This note concerns the meta-formatting of this repository.
|
||||||
> This note is on the meta-formatting of this repository.
|
For contents, prose conventions, etc. see [[this-notebook]].
|
||||||
> For contents, prose conventions, etc. see [[this-notebook]].
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## Syntax
|
## Syntax
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Notes are written in [Obsidian-flavored markdown](https://help.obsidian.md/),
|
I primarily use [[obsidian|Obsidian]] for both reading and writing,
|
||||||
which is partially reimplemented by [Markdown Oxide](https://oxide.md/)
|
so notes are written in [Obsidian-flavored markdown](https://help.obsidian.md/),
|
||||||
for use in editors other than Obsidian.
|
which is partially reimplemented by [Foam](https://foamnotes.com/) for Visual Studio Code
|
||||||
|
and [Markdown Oxide](https://oxide.md/) for vim, neovim, and others.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
For compatibility,
|
For compatibility,
|
||||||
novel syntax implemented by Obsidian plugins should be avoided.
|
novel syntax implemented by Obsidian plugins should be avoided.
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/meta
|
- topic/meta
|
||||||
- type/directory
|
- type/directory
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# TODO
|
# TODO
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- type/guide
|
- type/guide
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
title: Accubid Setup
|
title: Accubid Setup
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Accubid Setup
|
# Accubid Setup
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- topic/risk
|
- topic/risk
|
||||||
- type/cross-topic
|
- type/cross-topic
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Actuarial Science for Construction Estimating
|
# Actuarial Science for Construction Estimating
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/risk
|
- topic/risk
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia
|
- type/encyclopedia
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Actuarial Science
|
# Actuarial Science
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- topic/software
|
- topic/software
|
||||||
- type/philosophy
|
- type/philosophy
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# AI in Estimating
|
# AI in Estimating
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
title: Alternating Current
|
title: Alternating Current
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Alternating Current
|
# Alternating Current
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/construction
|
- topic/construction
|
||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- type/cross-topic
|
- type/cross-topic
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Ambiguity in Construction Estimating
|
# Ambiguity in Construction Estimating
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/ambiguity
|
- topic/ambiguity
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Ambiguity
|
# Ambiguity
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/software
|
- topic/software
|
||||||
- type/idea
|
- type/idea
|
||||||
title: Assembly Objects
|
title: Assembly Objects
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Assembly Objects
|
# Assembly Objects
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- type/philosophy
|
- type/philosophy
|
||||||
title: Assembly Philosophy
|
title: Assembly Philosophy
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Assembly Philosophy
|
# Assembly Philosophy
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/strategy
|
- topic/strategy
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Auction Theory
|
# Auction Theory
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/software
|
- topic/software
|
||||||
- type/idea
|
- type/idea
|
||||||
title: Automating Estimating Project Creation
|
title: Automating Estimating Project Creation
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Automating Estimating Project Creation
|
# Automating Estimating Project Creation
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/software
|
- topic/software
|
||||||
- type/idea
|
- type/idea
|
||||||
title: Automating PDF Annotation
|
title: Automating PDF Annotation
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Automating PDF Annotation
|
# Automating PDF Annotation
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/music/banjo
|
- topic/music/banjo
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia
|
- type/encyclopedia
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Banjo Tablatures
|
# Banjo Tablatures
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/music/banjo
|
- topic/music/banjo
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia
|
- type/encyclopedia
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Banjo
|
# Banjo
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/risk
|
- topic/risk
|
||||||
- type/idea
|
- type/idea
|
||||||
title: Modeling Bid Prices Under Intrinsic Cost Uncertainty
|
title: Modeling Bid Prices Under Intrinsic Cost Uncertainty
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Modeling Bid Prices Under Intrinsic Cost Uncertainty
|
# Modeling Bid Prices Under Intrinsic Cost Uncertainty
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- topic/risk
|
- topic/risk
|
||||||
- type/philosophy
|
- type/philosophy
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Bid Process Strategy
|
# Bid Process Strategy
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- topic/hobbies/birding
|
- topic/hobbies/birding
|
||||||
title: Birds I've Seen Around Here
|
title: Birds I've Seen Around Here
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Birds I've Seen Around Here
|
# Birds I've Seen Around Here
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
title: BPM Award Analysis
|
title: BPM Award Analysis
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# BPM Award Analysis
|
# BPM Award Analysis
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- topic/software
|
- topic/software
|
||||||
- type/idea
|
- type/idea
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Breakdown Objects
|
# Breakdown Objects
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- topic/construction
|
- topic/construction
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Building Area Classification
|
# Building Area Classification
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/draft
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
- type/guide
|
- type/guide
|
||||||
title: Carbon Monoxide Detection Takeoff
|
title: Carbon Monoxide Detection Takeoff
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Carbon Monoxide Detection Takeoff
|
# Carbon Monoxide Detection Takeoff
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -0,0 +1,14 @@
|
|||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
id:
|
||||||
|
aliases: []
|
||||||
|
title: Complaints
|
||||||
|
tags:
|
||||||
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
|
- destiny/permanent
|
||||||
|
- status/draft
|
||||||
|
- topic/meta
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
|
---
|
||||||
|
# Complaints
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
Where do you get the nerve, buddy?
|
||||||
+4
-2
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- type/encyclopedia
|
- type/encyclopedia
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
title: Conductor Sizing
|
title: Conductor Sizing
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Conductor Sizing
|
# Conductor Sizing
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@@ -160,8 +161,9 @@ $$
|
|||||||
|
|
||||||
## Motors
|
## Motors
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
1 electric horsepower = 746 watts
|
$$
|
||||||
|
1~\text{electric horsepower} \equiv 746~\text{watts}
|
||||||
|
$$
|
||||||
full-load current (FLC) / full-load amperes (FLA)
|
full-load current (FLC) / full-load amperes (FLA)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
minimum circuit ampacity (MCA)
|
minimum circuit ampacity (MCA)
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/construction/electrical
|
- topic/construction/electrical
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia
|
- type/encyclopedia
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Conduit Sizing
|
# Conduit Sizing
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/complete
|
- status/complete
|
||||||
- type/minutes
|
- type/minutes
|
||||||
title: ConEst Training Agenda
|
title: ConEst Training Agenda
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# ConEst Training Agenda
|
# ConEst Training Agenda
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- type/task
|
- type/task
|
||||||
- topic/meta
|
- topic/meta
|
||||||
title: Consolidate Electrical Info
|
title: Consolidate Electrical Info
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Consolidate Electrical Info
|
# Consolidate Electrical Info
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- topic/meta
|
- topic/meta
|
||||||
- type/task
|
- type/task
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Consolidate Estimating Thoughts
|
# Consolidate Estimating Thoughts
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
||||||
- authorship/original
|
- authorship/original
|
||||||
title: Construction Estimating Software
|
title: Construction Estimating Software
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Construction Estimating Software
|
# Construction Estimating Software
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/construction
|
- topic/construction
|
||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- type/media-commentary
|
- type/media-commentary
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# _Construction Estimating Using Excel_
|
# _Construction Estimating Using Excel_
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/estimating
|
- topic/estimating
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia
|
- type/encyclopedia
|
||||||
title: Construction Estimating
|
title: Construction Estimating
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Construction Estimating
|
# Construction Estimating
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/construction
|
- topic/construction
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Construction Methods
|
# Construction Methods
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- type/guide
|
- type/guide
|
||||||
title: Converting Documents to Markdown
|
title: Converting Documents to Markdown
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Converting Documents to Markdown
|
# Converting Documents to Markdown
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/math
|
- topic/math
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
- type/encyclopedia-entry
|
||||||
title: Convex Hull
|
title: Convex Hull
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Convex Hull
|
# Convex Hull
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -9,6 +9,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- status/incomplete
|
- status/incomplete
|
||||||
- topic/music/banjo
|
- topic/music/banjo
|
||||||
- type/media/music
|
- type/media/music
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# The Cruel Mother (Traditional)
|
# The Cruel Mother (Traditional)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ tags:
|
|||||||
- topic/meta
|
- topic/meta
|
||||||
- type/encyclopedia
|
- type/encyclopedia
|
||||||
title: Daily Notes
|
title: Daily Notes
|
||||||
|
dg-publish: true
|
||||||
---
|
---
|
||||||
# Daily Notes
|
# Daily Notes
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
Some files were not shown because too many files have changed in this diff Show More
Reference in New Issue
Block a user