vault backup: 2026-02-18 17:27:27
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@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ tags:
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- authorship/original
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- destiny/permanent
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- status/draft
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- type/timestamped
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- type/periodic/timestamped
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- occupational
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dg-publish: true
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daily: "[[2026-02-04]]"
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@@ -31,7 +31,7 @@ That is, who defines our purpose?
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### ConEst Organization
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What freedom does ConEst have to change its process and deliverables?
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suppose a plan to have Bid, with their request for ConEst,
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Suppose a plan to have Bid, with their request for ConEst,
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articulate certain requirements which they must have possessed to produce the bid estimate.
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Who would be involved in the change?
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Who would be the one to deny the request?
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@@ -40,12 +40,15 @@ If Bid's proposals are audited,
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why do they still cause ConEst constant headache?
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("local lighting control")
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***
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Estimators and seniors are biased towards imprecision
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because its tolerance reduces monotonous work,
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but the logical conclusion of such bias is a Bid estimate.
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Obviously there is an ideal compromise
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between 1:1 takeoff to install and a square foot budget
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that ConEst is intended to produce.
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Who is ultimately responsible
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for defining the position of that point on the spectrum?
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How is it defined?
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@@ -63,9 +66,9 @@ a better option between two.
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What's being done to address the variance which exists?
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What's being done to prevent it from re-emerging?
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It's my belief that the most practical solution
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It is my belief that the most practical solution
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is the frequent rotation of estimators in senior teams.
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It's in the interest of estimators
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It is in the interest of estimators
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that their personal heuristics not depend on who they're working for,
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so they can be expected to call attention to inconsistency
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allowing it to be addressed permanently.
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@@ -85,7 +88,8 @@ Would I be better of keeping my mouth shut about it?
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#### Incentives
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Bonuses based on awarded profit
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incentivize problematic (hare-hunting) behavior.
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incentivize problematic behavior
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([[game-theory#Stag Hunt|hare-hunting]]).
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Has such behavior been observed,
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or has chief strategy been organization-aligned
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in spite of the incentive?
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