vault backup: 2026-02-18 17:27:27

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2026-02-18 17:27:28 -05:00
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commit 930ecb72a9
55 changed files with 208 additions and 160 deletions
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@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ tags:
- authorship/original
- destiny/permanent
- status/draft
- type/timestamped
- type/periodic/timestamped
- occupational
dg-publish: true
daily: "[[2026-02-04]]"
@@ -31,7 +31,7 @@ That is, who defines our purpose?
### ConEst Organization
What freedom does ConEst have to change its process and deliverables?
suppose a plan to have Bid, with their request for ConEst,
Suppose a plan to have Bid, with their request for ConEst,
articulate certain requirements which they must have possessed to produce the bid estimate.
Who would be involved in the change?
Who would be the one to deny the request?
@@ -40,12 +40,15 @@ If Bid's proposals are audited,
why do they still cause ConEst constant headache?
("local lighting control")
***
Estimators and seniors are biased towards imprecision
because its tolerance reduces monotonous work,
but the logical conclusion of such bias is a Bid estimate.
Obviously there is an ideal compromise
between 1:1 takeoff to install and a square foot budget
that ConEst is intended to produce.
Who is ultimately responsible
for defining the position of that point on the spectrum?
How is it defined?
@@ -63,9 +66,9 @@ a better option between two.
What's being done to address the variance which exists?
What's being done to prevent it from re-emerging?
It's my belief that the most practical solution
It is my belief that the most practical solution
is the frequent rotation of estimators in senior teams.
It's in the interest of estimators
It is in the interest of estimators
that their personal heuristics not depend on who they're working for,
so they can be expected to call attention to inconsistency
allowing it to be addressed permanently.
@@ -85,7 +88,8 @@ Would I be better of keeping my mouth shut about it?
#### Incentives
Bonuses based on awarded profit
incentivize problematic (hare-hunting) behavior.
incentivize problematic behavior
([[game-theory#Stag Hunt|hare-hunting]]).
Has such behavior been observed,
or has chief strategy been organization-aligned
in spite of the incentive?