vault backup: 2026-02-19 17:20:00

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+---
+id:
+aliases: []
+title: 2026-02-03 15:04:00
+tags:
+  - authorship/original
+  - destiny/permanent
+  - status/draft
+  - type/timestamped
+  - topic/estimating
+dg-publish: true
+daily: "[[2026-02-03]]"
+---
+# 2026-02-03 15:04:00
+
+It is possible, even common,
+to be _confident_ in an _uncertain_ estimate.
+Confidence is a measure of the potential for an estimate to vary from reality,
+but an estimate can (and _should_ where possible)
+include respect for uncertainty.