vault backup: 2026-03-03 12:26:29

ambiguity-in-construction-estimating.md

@@ -26,7 +26,7 @@ and undoing years of poor conditioning is... not easy.
 
 ## Naming Conventions (Use Case vs. Description)
 
-Related topic: [[realism-vs-instrumentalism]]
+Related topic: [[heuristics#Realism vs. Instrumentalism]]
 
 Naming by use case is intuitive for those without estimating or field experience,
 but has the side effect that those accustomed to the names

heuristics.md

@@ -22,6 +22,25 @@ With that heuristic,
 one can closely approximate small dimensions,
 even without the proper tools.
 
-## See Also
+## Realism vs. Instrumentalism
 
-[[realism-vs-instrumentalism]]
+Realism holds that the purpose of [scientific research](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Research)
+is to describe the world as accurately as possible.
+Instrumentalism (anti-realism) argues that the purpose
+is to _forecast as accurately as possible_.
+
+> [!quote] George E. P. Box, British statistician
+> All models are wrong, but some are useful.[^1]
+
+[^1]: > [!quote] [[box_1987_empirical-model-building#The Use of Approximating Functions]] 
+    > The fact that the polynomial is an approximation
+    > does not necessarily detract from its usefulness
+    > because all models are approximations.
+    > Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful.
+
+> [!quote] _Opinionated History of Mathematics_, "Did Copernicus steal ideas from Islamic astronomers?" (pp.)
+> Ptolemy's lunar model is "flawed"
+> in that it inaccurately describes Luna's distance from Earth,
+> however Ptolemy only ever used the model to predict eclipses,
+> which the model does very well.
+> The discrepancy is only a flaw from a realist perspective.

realism-vs-instrumentalism.md

@@ -1,33 +0,0 @@
----
-id:
-aliases: []
-title: Realism vs. Instrumentalism
-tags:
-  - authorship/original
-  - destiny/fleeting
-  - status/draft
-  - type/encyclopedia-entry
-dg-publish: true
----
-# Realism vs. Instrumentalism
-
-Realism holds that the purpose of [scientific research](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Research)
-is to describe the world as accurately as possible.
-Instrumentalism (anti-realism) argues that the purpose
-is to _forecast as accurately as possible_.
-
-> [!quote] George E. P. Box, British statistician
-> All models are wrong, but some are useful.[^1]
-
-[^1]: > [!quote] [[box_1987_empirical-model-building#The Use of Approximating Functions]] 
-    > The fact that the polynomial is an approximation
-    > does not necessarily detract from its usefulness
-    > because all models are approximations.
-    > Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful.
-
-> [!quote] _Opinionated History of Mathematics_, "Did Copernicus steal ideas from Islamic astronomers?" (pp.)
-> Ptolemy's lunar model is "flawed"
-> in that it inaccurately describes Luna's distance from Earth,
-> however Ptolemy only ever used the model to predict eclipses,
-> which the model does very well.
-> The discrepancy is only a flaw from a realist perspective.

timestamped/2025-11-13_08-19-00.md

@@ -19,7 +19,7 @@ from Ace to PDI estimating.
 At a high level,
 it's that our process is built on _instrumental_ methods,
 but that it is frequently judged from a _realist_ perspective.
-See [[realism-vs-instrumentalism]].
+See [[heuristics#Realism vs. Instrumentalism]].
 
 There may be a more accurate way to state this.
 [[2025-11-10_11-14-00]] may be an example of a similar issue,

timestamped/2026-01-07_12-13-00.md

@@ -34,4 +34,4 @@ because otherwise it would be necessary to have double the assemblies,
 or to expect estimators to substitute each size of wire
 everywhere bare was necessary.
 
-See [[realism-vs-instrumentalism]].
+See [[heuristics#Realism vs. Instrumentalism]].

timestamped/2026-01-29_10-07-37.md

@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ which were based on conflicting direction
 received from other estimators and seniors,
 were made _without_ reason.
 
-See [[realism-vs-instrumentalism]].
+See [[heuristics#Realism vs. Instrumentalism]].
 
 The peer's senior is looking for a _realist_ objection to his methods,
 which an estimator without field experience (which the senior has)

timestamped/2026-02-26_10-06-19.md

@@ -49,7 +49,7 @@ yearly: "[[2026]]"
 > in other than [[units-takeoff|Units]].
 
 I expressed that,
-from a [[realism-vs-instrumentalism|realist]] perspective,
+from a [[heuristics#Realism vs. Instrumentalism|realist]] perspective,
 the `... DEVICES WITH WIRE - PVC` assemblies
 are unsuitable for use in drop ceilings
 since they don't provide a flex whip and box.