90 lines
2.5 KiB
Markdown
90 lines
2.5 KiB
Markdown
---
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id:
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aliases: []
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title: 2026-01-30
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tags:
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- authorship/original
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- destiny/permanent
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- status/draft
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- type/periodic/daily
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dg-publish: true
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---
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# 2026-01-30
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## 2026-01-30 08:44
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Follow-up to [[2026-01-28#2026-01-28 10:02]].
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I really would like to implement timestamped notes,
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especially while it's still somewhat practical to split my old dailies.
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Only the lack of plugin support stops me.
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## 2026-01-30 09:06
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I tried the Smart Connections community plugin.
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I can't imagine who it could be useful for.
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It seems to just identify large blocks of similar content,
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which means that every daily note is connected to every other.
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## 2026-01-30 13:42
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Often when I consider learning a new skill or improving an existing one,
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I conceive of a system that would _force_ me to improve,
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rather than forget about it (as I am won to do).
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See [[2026-01-19#Ulysses Pacts]].
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Conventional "home assistant" tech and doctrine
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caters to a class of people I find bizarre,
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those that would spend enormous sums of cash and effort
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just for the marginal benefit
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of not having to touch light switches as often as normal people.
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Instead they get to take out their phone,
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find and open the light switch app,
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and touch a virtual light switch
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because the routines they programmed were too conservative.
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Human or software,
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an assistant without agency and the will to contradict you is worthless.
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If the effort to _communicate_ your instructions
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exceeds the effort to perform them,
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you will always do the task yourself.
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## 2026-01-30 16:29
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### Laplace's Rule of Succession (LRS)
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> [!info]
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> Pierre-Simon Laplace
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If some event occurred $m$ times in $n$ observations,
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the probability the event will occur in the next observation
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is given by:
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$$
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\frac{1+m}{2+n}
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$$
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### Rule of Five
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The probability that any given sample is above the median is 50%.
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The probability that the minimum and maximum values of $n$ samples
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_don't_ straddle the median is $(\frac{1}{2})^{n}$,
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equivalent to getting the same result on a flipped coin
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$n$ times in a row.
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There is a 93.75% chance that the median of a population
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is between the smallest and largest values
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in any random sample of five from that population.
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## 2026-01-30 18:33
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Why is it that I find it so easy, even compulsory,
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to clean my house while working from home,
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even after returning from work on-site?
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Why again does that feeling of necessity
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persist even into the evening,
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when I would normally be home anyway,
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but unable to summon the will to do anything
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about rapidly growing piles of dirty dishes and clothes?
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