769 B
769 B
id, aliases, title, tags, dg-publish, date-created, daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, yearly
| id | aliases | title | tags | dg-publish | date-created | daily | weekly | monthly | quarterly | yearly | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08T07:42:17-04:00 | 2026-04-08 07:42:17 |
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true | 2026-04-08T07:42:17-04:00 | 2026-04-08 | 2026-W15 | 2026-04 | 2026-Q2 | 2026 |
2026-04-08 07:42:17
hubbard_2025_project-management#Top-down Estimations Reference Class Forecasting
If RCF isn't informative (uniqueness bias) then neither is project manager experience.
A loss exceedance curve can inform how to price a project under estimate uncertainty. Contingency can be added to an estimate made with standard methods sufficient to lower probability of overrun to 5%, for example.