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---
title: Three-Point Estimation
tags:
- topic/estimating
- topic/risk
---
# Three-Point Estimation
* best-case or optimistic
* worst-case or pessimistic
* most-likely
[Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three-point_estimation)
[PMI](https://www.projectmanagement.com/wikis/368763/3-points-estimating)
![](https://www.tutorialspoint.com/estimation_techniques/images/three_point_estimation.jpg)
A [[risk]]-neutral party would set selling price at the most likely.
The difference between the pessimistic estimate and selling price
is the [[value-at-risk]].
Three-point estimating is considered the bare minimum in most industries.