vault backup: 2025-07-14 17:04:52

new-additions/1752260155-JUEH.md

@@ -1,8 +0,0 @@
----
-id: 1752260155-JUEH
-aliases:
-  - "!example"
-tags: []
----
-
-# !example

new-additions/README.md

@@ -1,8 +0,0 @@
-# notebook
-
-This is a temporary spot for my notes while I figure out my setup.
-
-## TODO
-
-1. [ ] move main vault "ZMVault" to Github
-2. [ ] branch and merge these notes with repo

risk-oriented-estimating.md

@@ -1,9 +1,8 @@
 # Risk Oriented Estimating
 
-Risk-Oriented Estimating (ROE), is a methodology for [[construction-estimating]]
-which prioritizes estimating tasks by their contribution to cost certainty,
-and determines the appropriate level of [[estimating-detail]]
-given [[risk#Risk Tolerance]]
+Risk-Oriented Estimating (ROE), is a methodology for [[construction-estimating]] which
+* prioritizes estimating tasks,
+* determines necessary [[estimating-detail]]
 
 ROE leans heavily on [[expected-value-of-perfect-information]],
 which challenges the natural tendency to shy from uncertainty
@@ -13,6 +12,15 @@ ROE does not endorse common shortcuts which round up to "cover" uncertainty,
 as these ultimately _increase_ risk by inflating the apparent project cost,
 increasing the probability of loss to a competitor.
 
-Bid risk may fit a [Taleb distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taleb_distribution).
+> Bid risk may fit a [Taleb distribution](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taleb_distribution).
 
-Actuarial Science
+> Actuarial Science
+
+## Prioritizing Tasks
+
+ROE prioritizes estimating tasks by their contribution to _cost certainty_.
+
+## Determining Necessary Detail
+
+ROE determines the appropriate level of [[estimating-detail]]
+given an organization's [[risk#Risk Tolerance]].

risk-registers.md

@@ -1,8 +0,0 @@
----
-tags:
-  - project-management
----
-# Risk Registers
-
-Risk Registers are a standard method of documenting [[risk]].
-They are a hallmark of [[project-management-tm]] practice.

risk.md

@@ -52,8 +52,15 @@ based on anticipated market conditions.
 
 ## Risk Tolerance
 
-Determining risk tolerance is a task usually appropriated by executives,
-often based on [[gut-feel]],
+Determining risk tolerance is a task usually appropriated by executives
+(often based on [[gut-feel]]),
 but that is better determined mathematically.
 
 [Risk of ruin](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_of_ruin)
+
+## Risk Analysis and Management
+
+### Risk Registers
+
+Risk Registers are a standard method of documenting [[risk]].
+They are a hallmark of [[project-management-tm]] practice.